Who will play in the Big 12 championship game? A detailed look at the many options

SALT LAKE CITY — So you're telling me there's a chance?

That's what at minimum six teams in the Big 12 can believe with three games left in the regular season. At this point, Utah holds all the cards for one spot in Arlington, Texas, while reigning champion Texas Tech is in the driver's seat for the other.

But is that how it will shape up on Dec. 4, 2026 at AT&T Stadium?

I've gone through the many scenarios to try to give every team a look at their chances, and put it in a handy (but chaotic) flow chart to get a view of the Big 12 championship game picture. Though it's likely not perfect with so many various scenarios still on the table that could change the outlook of the race, it's as close a start as available.

Utah is currently favored in all three remaining games, but has a cushion and can lose at least one game to still earn a trip to Arlington. That gives Utah a high probability of making the championship game.

Texas Tech is a slight underdog to Oklahoma State on Saturday to give several other teams a chance. A two-loss Texas Tech team could open up a wild finish with several teams — including Arizona, Baylor, BYU, Houston and Texas Tech.

But enough talking ... jump into the flow chart and discover it all yourself below. If you can't see the interactive chart below, click here.

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