Trump 'battled to near parity' with Harris in mustering Latino voter support in 2024, report shows

KEY TAKEAWAYS

Latino voters in the 2024 presidential vote split fairly evenly between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, a new analysis shows.
Latinos have typically leaned heavily Democratic, but the Democratic-GOP split was just 51% to 48% in 2024.
Naturalized citizens increasingly backed Trump as well, with 47% voting for him, Pew reports.

WASHINGTON — A new analysis of voting in the 2024 U.S. presidential election shows Latinos split fairly evenly between Democratic contender Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump, a contrast to prior cycles.

Latino voters were heavily courted by politicos of all stripes during the 2024 cycle, and while they have typically leaned heavily Democratic, the new Pew Research Center analysis shows that Trump made significant headway in garnering their support. Trump, the eventual winner, also generated increased backing from other racial and ethnic minorities.

"Trump won with a voter coalition that was more racially and ethnically diverse than in 2020 or 2016," reads the report from the Washington, D.C.-based research organization, released last week. He "battled to near parity" with Harris in drawing Latino support.

More specifically, according to Pew, Trump received 48% of the Latino vote nationwide in 2024 compared to 51% for Harris. The Republican received a slim majority of the vote among Hispanic men, 50% to 48%, while Harris received majority support from Hispanic women, 52% to 46%. In 2020, Democratic Joe Biden, the eventual winner, received 61% of the Latino vote compared to 36% for Trump.

Trump received backing from 15% of the smaller contingent of Black voters in 2024, up from 8% in 2020, and also did better among Asian voters, though a majority backed Harris. The split among non-Hispanic white voters was the same in 2024 and 2020, 55% to 43% in Trump's favor.

Naturalized U.S. citizens — immigrants who have completed the citizenship process — also voted in increasing numbers for Trump in 2024. The Republican hopeful garnered votes from 47% of the population compared to 51% for Harris, an improvement from the 59%-38% split that favored Biden in 2020. The share of white naturalized citizens voting for Trump increased to 55% in 2024, up from 41% four years earlier, while the figure among Latino naturalized citizens was 51%, up from 39% in 2020.

While those originally from Mexico accounted for the largest single bloc of newly naturalized citizens in fiscal year 2024, 13.1% of the total, they come from a wide array of countries, according to U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Service figures.

The Pew analysis looks beyond race and ethnicity in voting trends in 2024, also analyzing turnout and the "educational divide" and "urban-rural gap" in voting patterns, among other factors. Trump outperformed Harris in garnering the support of "non-college voters" and voters living in rural areas, while Harris had the edge in support from those with college degrees and those living in urban areas.

The analysis, based on a post-election Pew survey of voters, didn't offer explanations for the varied voting shifts. Some Latino Trump voters in Utah, however, said after November's voting that economic concerns and worries about border security were key issues for them.

The Key Takeaways for this article were generated with the assistance of large language models and reviewed by our editorial team. The article, itself, is solely human-written.